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- š„ Artists to Watch - Works of Loie Hollowell, Syed Haider Raza, Vivian Springford, and 2 other finds
š„ Artists to Watch - Works of Loie Hollowell, Syed Haider Raza, Vivian Springford, and 2 other finds
Plus, collectors double down as New York leads the auction scene
HEY YāALL! š„
Thanks for all the great feedback from the lots I shared last Wednesday!
š Top Picks from the Last Issue:
Iām excited to share 5 pieces worth checking out for this week.
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-Hunted Works-
1) Loie Hollowell

Loie Hollowell, In the act of conception, 2021
š Bio: American, 1983
š YOY Growth 2023: -10%
š° Record Price: $2,292,150 for Standing in Red, sold at Sotheby's Hong Kong in 2023.
š Main Market: Hong Kong & U.S
š My 2 Cents: You know those rare finds that just hit all the right notes? Well, Loie Hollowellās In the act of conception from 2021 is one of them. Letās start with the medium. Itās made with acrylic and high-density foam on linen, and her approach gives the painting this almost sculptural feel. The way she plays with texture creates depth you donāt often see, and Iād say thatās part of what makes Hollowellās work stand out. This piece, with its organic shapes and vibrant colors, is a perfect example of how she mixes abstraction with really personal themesāin this case, conception. You look at it, and itās unmistakably hers.
Now, letās talk numbers. The estimate is 700,000 to 900,000 HKD, which is about $90,000 to $115,000 USD. Honestly, thatās pretty much in line with her market right now. Back in 2021, her average price hit a peak of $692,000, and in a place like Hong Kongāwhere her works tend to fetch around $880,000āI wouldnāt be surprised if this goes for even more. To me, this price range feels like the sweet spot: exclusive enough to be special, but still with room for growth. And the auction house matters, too. Christieās Hong Kong has been a strong market for Hollowell, and they know how to bring out the best in these sales.
Of course, thereās the recent dip in her prices, and thatās something to keep in mind. But I actually think that makes this an interesting opportunity. The marketās cooled a bit, and that means buyers might score a deal at the lower end of the estimate. This is still a strong piece from a key period in her career, and if you ask me, the demand for her workāespecially the ones about motherhood and conceptionāisnāt going anywhere but up.
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2) Syed Haider Raza

Syed Haider Raza, Terre chaude, 1966
š Bio: Indian, 1922 - 2016
š YOY Growth 2023: +72%
š° Record Price: $5,619,900 for KallistĆ©, sold at Sotheby's New York in 2024.
š Main Market: India & U.S
šMy 2 Cents: You know that feeling when you walk into a room, and it just feels like it has a story to tell? Well, thatās exactly what comes to mind when I think about Syed Haider Razaās Terre chaude (1966). This piece isnāt just another pretty paintingāitās packed with history and culture. Created during Razaās Paris years, it shows his shift from the more traditional landscapes he was known for to the abstract, geometric work that ended up defining his later career. Itās kind of like a turning point, where you can see Raza exploring new ideas. If youāre someone whoās into art that has more than just aesthetic appeal, Terre chaude offers a chance to own a piece of that journey.
Now, I donāt want to dive too deep into numbers, but with an estimate of Ā£90,000 to Ā£160,000 (about $118,000 to $209,000 USD), this one sits right in the range youād expect for his mid-career pieces. And with Razaās hammer ratio jumping to 1.95 this year, I wouldnāt be surprised if it surpasses that high estimateāespecially in a Sothebyās auction where people tend to get competitive. To me, the 33% increase in his average sale price in 2024 alone says that buying this piece now might pay off down the road.
But hey, itās not all about the numbers. I think Terre chaude is valuable beyond just its price tag. It represents a big moment in Razaās shift from Western modernism toward a deeper connection with his Indian roots. Collectors are really starting to go after pieces from this phase, and I get why. These works are timeless, culturally rich, and honestly, theyāre becoming harder to find. If you pass on this one, you might regret it when the next one comes around at three times the price.
3) Vivian Springford

Vivian Springford, Untitled, 1968
š Bio: American, 1913 - 2003
š YOY Growth 2023: -26%
š° Record Price: $241,300 USD for Untitled (Tanzania Series), sold at Phillips New York in 2023.
š Main Market: U.S
š My 2 Cents: So hereās something worth paying attention to: Vivian Springfordās Untitled from 1968 is coming up for auction at Phillips New York on September 25, 2024. The estimate? Around $35,000 to $50,000. Now, Iāve gotta say, that price range feels like a real sweet spot, especially when you consider the buzz around her market lately.
Let me walk you through it: This piece was painted during a major shift in Springfordās work. Itās from the same period when she was really nailing down her signature soak-stain technique. This makes it a standout, because collectors are always drawn to works that come from such pivotal moments in an artistās career. And at 45.75 by 65 inches, itās got the size to really command attention without going into the higher price bracket of some of her bigger sales.
Now, hereās something interestingāSpringfordās market has had its ups and downs. Prices spiked 939% in 2022, but things have cooled off a bit since then. That said, I think that cooling off could actually be an opportunity. If youāre looking for a solid entry point, this might be it. After all, sheās in major collections like the Guggenheim and the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston, and her work keeps showing up in some pretty important exhibitions this year. Sheās definitely not fading away.
So, if this piece lands anywhere near its estimate, I think youāre looking at a great deal. But, of course, the real question is: will it stay in that range? Honestly, I wouldnāt be shocked if it goes over $50k. Weāll see.
4) Henni Alftan

Henni Alftan, Flies, 2021
š Bio: Finnish, 1979
š YOY Growth 2023: +26%
š° Record Price: $88,900 for Nightvision, sold at Sotheby's New York in 2024.
š Main Market: U.S
š My 2 Cents: Letās talk about Henni Alftanās Flies (2021). If youāre into tracking whatās hot in contemporary painting, this oneās worth your attention. Itās up for auction at Phillips New York, with an estimate between $25,000 and $35,000, which seems like a fair range. Especially when you look at the way Alftanās work has been trending upward over the past few years. I mean, her prices shot up by 26.9% just this year. And sure, her hammer ratio slipped a little compared to last year, but thereās still plenty of interest when it comes to bidding on her pieces.
What I really like about Flies is how it taps into that quiet, everyday magic Alftan is known for. Itās a modest-sized painting, but itās packed with that intimate, cinematic vibe that makes you want to lean in and take a closer look. Her ability to create something that feels familiar yet a little mysterious? Thatās what keeps collectors coming back. And when youāve got museums like the Hammer and LACMA already snapping up her work, itās pretty clear sheās a serious player in the art world. So, not only is this a beautiful piece, but itās also a solid investment.
Now, there is one thing to keep in mindāher sell-through rate did dip this year. But I think thatās more about buyers being pickier, not because people are losing interest. Honestly, this might be your best shot at getting your hands on an Alftan before her prices climb even higher. If youāve been on the fence about adding her to your collection, this could be your moment.
5) Robin F. Williams

Peter Bradley, Joggers, 2018
š Bio: American, 1984
š YOY Growth 2023: 9%
š° Record Price: $428,400 for Ice Queen, sold at Christie's New York in 2023.
š Main Market: U.S
š My 2 Cents: So hereās something worth keeping an eye on: Joggers by Robin F. Williams is coming up at Phillips New York this month. Itās a painting from 2018, and Iāve got to say, thereās a lot to be excited about. Williams has been on quite the upward trajectory latelyāher prices at auction have been skyrocketing. In 2022 alone, they jumped by a staggering 519%. I mean, thatās pretty wild. Now, with an estimate between $100,000 and $150,000, this piece feels like it could be a really good buy, especially when you realize her larger paintings have been averaging around $224,000.
Joggers fits right into what Williams does best: stylized, bold female figures that play with pop culture and gender themes. But this time, she adds something unexpectedāa male figure. Thatās pretty rare in her work and it changes the whole dynamic. Historically, the male was the viewer, not the subject, but here Williams flips that around. The male in Joggers isnāt posed as some idealized object of desireāheās caught in the middle of physical effort, almost rejecting our gaze. Itās a cool twist on classical nudes, and it gives the piece this really uncanny, almost humorous vibe.
If youāre someone whoās looking to jump in while Williams is still on the rise, this piece could be a smart move. She just had a big institutional show at the Columbus Museum of Art earlier this year, and sheās got more global exhibitions coming up, so her profile is only getting bigger. That said, her sell-through rate did dip a bit in 2023āit was down to 57%. So, thereās a bit of a risk here. But honestly, I think itās the kind of risk that could pay off in a big way. Sheās definitely an artist you donāt want to sleep on.
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See you next Wednesday!

-Alvaro (@theartmarketguy)
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